fourpercentrule

Forum 2010-01 business active Updated 2026-02-16
Early 2010s Emerging 500K+ lifetime posts

First documented in January 2010 on Forum. Currently active and in regular use across social platforms since 2010.

#fourpercentrule

Safe withdrawal rate for retirement portfolios. Trinity Study (1998): 4% initial withdrawal, adjusted for inflation, survived 95% of 30-year periods historically. Based on 50/50 stock/bond portfolio. Debate: too aggressive (Sequence of Returns Risk), too conservative (ignores flexibility). FIRE community split: 3.25-3.5% (conservative), 4% (standard), 4.5% (aggressive). 2022 bear market validated critics.

Sources: Personal finance forums, investment research

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