sequencerisk

Forum 2010-01 business active

#sequencerisk

Sequence of Returns Risk - retiring into bear market devastates portfolio more than average returns suggest. Selling stocks when down locks in losses. Example: 2022 retiree withdrawing 4% during -20% year vs 2019 retiree before bull run. Mitigation: bond tent, lower withdrawal rate first years, flexible spending, part-time work buffer. Biggest FIRE movement risk.

Sources: Personal finance forums, investment research

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